[V]irtually all of the evidence that we have reviewed - historical patterns, structural features of this election cycle, and national and state polls conducted over the last several months - points to a comfortable Obama/Democratic party victory in November. Trumpeting this race as a toss-up, almost certain to produce another nail-biter finish, distorts the evidence and does a disservice to readers and viewers who rely upon such punditry.... It is no exaggeration to say that the political environment this year is one of the worst for a party in the White House in the past sixty years. You have to go all the way back to 1952 to find an election involving the combination of an unpopular president, an unpopular war, and an economy teetering on the brink of recession....[I]f history is any guide, and absent a dramatic change in election fundamentals or an utter collapse of the Obama candidacy, John McCain is likely to suffer the same fate as Adlai Stevenson.
OK, I'll admit it; I'm officially sick to death of hearing that the Presidential race is a "toss-up". If you want to play dueling national tracking polls, that's fine, but the reality is that national numbers don't mean squat in a Presidential election. Anyone with half a brain knows that a Presidential elections is an aggregate of 50 separate elections...and if you look at it in that light, John McCain is SO (deservedly) hosed. The reality is that McCain at this point has a chance of victory roughly equivalent to a snowball's chance in Hell.
Of course, with 99 days until Election Day a lot can still happen, and all the current conjecture is really just so much mental masturbation. Nonetheless, if you're a Democrat, you've got to like the numbers. Sure, the media will continually spin the myth that the election is a virtual toss up, but as things stand now, the election is Barack Obama's to lose. If you're wondering why the McCain campaign has taken on such an underhanded air of mean-spirited desperation...well, there you have it. The Electoral College math does not trend well for McCain- not a good sign for a guy who finished in the bottom 1% of his class at the US Naval Academy. Something tells me that math has never been McCain's strong suit.
So there it is. No matter how much the Mainstream Media may try to skew things for McCain (yeah, what Liberal Media??), it would seem that when broken down into Electoral College terms, their candidate's got a LOT of ground to make up.
Karma can be a real b---h, no??
